Nothing is certain in golf but Eric Carlberg must be odds-on to win the Challenge de Espana at Badajoz. With one round remaining he is nine strokes clear and only a complete disaster can prevent him from take the opening title on the 2000 European Challenge Tour.
The 25-year-old from Gavle carded a third round 69, his third sub-70 return, for 17-under-par 199, leaving the rest of the field playing for the other places.
Carlberg seems to be playing a different course. After his opening 64 left him four clear, he has gradually extended that advantage until he is virtually and out of sight.
Fellow Swede, Raimo Sjoberg, who carded a best-of-the-day 66, is joint second on 208 with Spain's Francis Valera, while another Spaniard, Juan Quiros carded a 67 to share fourth place on 209 with Carl Watts.
Watts began the day seven behind playing partner Carlberg, but he could do no better than 72 but another Swede, Bjorn Pettersson, also returned 67 to move up to joint sixth on 210.